Monthly Archives: December 2017

UFC 219 Main Card Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 30th, 2017

The countdown for UFC 219 in Paradise, Nevada has begun. Here’s our betting predictions for the main card, which directly follows the prelims.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Carlos Condit vs Niel Magny

I’ve got Carlos pushing the pace during the fight with a possible takedown, although I do see Niel getting some decent shots in during the fight on the feet, But grinding it out to a decision.

Carlos Condit by Decision.

Carlos Condit Head to Head at -175.

Cynthia Calvillo vs Carla Esparza

Cynthia is on a roll here i do see her trying to end it inside the distance she Just really tough. Exciting fight to watch. Carla will be on edge the whole fight.

Cynthia Calvillo to win inside the distance.

Cynthia Calvillo Head to Head at -265.

Daniel Hooker vs Marc Diakiese

Both fighters can finish the fight. But Diakiese has one decision loss and has strong knockout power. Looking for a Diakiese to finish here.

Marc Diakiese to win by Knockout.

Marc Diakiese Head to Head at -170.

Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Edson Barboza

Both exciting fighters. Barboza can win on the feet but Khabib could grind out Edson on the ground and hopefully Khabib has no weight issues. Barboza could weigh in heavy to get the KO advantage. But Khabib’s wrestling will be on point.

Khabib Numagomedov to win by submission.

Khabib Numagomedov Head to Head at -285.

Cristiane Justino vs Holly Holm

Cyborg will be able to cover distance much better than holly. But Holly’s only chance would be a left head kick. But i see Cyborg covering too much distance throughout the fight ending in a striking combo.

Cristiane Justino wins by Knockout.

Cristiane Justino Head to Head at -365.

UFC 219 Prelim Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 29th, 2017

Our betting predictions for the preliminary card for UFC 219, the UFC’s last event of the year.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Tim Elliot vs Mark De La Rosa

I think Tim will be too conditioned for Mark’s UFC debut. Tim has fought some of the best in the division.

Tim Elliot To win by Decision.

Tim Elliot head to head at -220.

Louis Smolka vs Matheus Nicolau

A close flyweight bout here. Matheus is a very exciting fighter he has only 1 loss and will be sure to put on a nice show.

Matheus Nicolau to win by Decision.

Matheus Nicolau head to head at -330.

Omari Akhmedov vs Marvin Vettori

I’ve picked the younger Italian fighter as he has many wins inside the distance and has only lost decisions and has won 7 of his last 8 fights.

Martin Vettori to win by Decision.

Martin Vettori head to head at -235.

Myles Jury vs Rick Glenn

Watching Rick Glenns last 2 wins were very impressive and I don’t see any flaws against Myles here a good underdog bet here.

Rick Glenn to win by Decision.

Rick Glenn Head to Head at +220.

Khalil Rountree vs Michal Oleksiejczuk

Someone’s going to get knocked out here in this fight it should end early as both fighters go for early knockouts but I’m sticking with Khalil as he has been very active fighting in the UFC and it’s Michal’s UFC debut.

Khalil Rountree by Knockout.

Khalil Rountree head to head at -300.

UFC on FOX 26 Main Card Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 14th, 2017

The countdown for UFC on FOX 26 in Winnipeg, Canada has begun. Here’s our betting predictions for the main fight card, which directly follows the prelims.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Glover Teixeira vs Misha Cirkunov

Both great fighters. Misha likes to finish fights. Teixeira is coming off a minor injury and had some troubles in his last few fights. Misha is fighting out of Toronto, Canada. Although they both have good Jui Jistsu. Glover will try to KO his opponent Misha will have to avoid the early knockout attempts. I’m a little worried about Glover’s chin he is 38 and has been knocked out twice in his last three fights.

Misha Cirkunov by Decision.

Misha Cirkunov Head to Head at -145.

Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry

Santiago has five wins in a row and is on a roll with some nice KOs in there whilst Mike is 11-1, the majority of his wins are knockouts. Someone is going down in the early rounds, or it may drag out to a decision. Looking forward to this fight. I’ve got Santiago to win here I think he is just a notch above Mike.

Santiago Ponzinibbio by Decision.

Santiago Ponzinibbio Head to Head at -200.

Ricardo Lamas vs Josh Emmett

I really feel that Josh is jumping ahead here. Ricardo is a tough fight for Josh.

Ricardo Lamas to win by Decision.

Ricardo Lamas Head to Head at -250.

Robbie Lawler vs Rafael Dos Santos

Great match up here. Rafael will have to really stall Robbie here and throw in some Jui Jistsu. But i feel Lawer’s bombs may be a little too much for Rafael – that’s five rounds of bombs.

Robbie Lawler wins by Knockout.

Robbie Lawler Head to Head at -115.

UFC on FOX 26 Prelim Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 13th, 2017

Our betting predictions for the preliminary card for UFC on FOX 26.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Nordine Taleb vs Danny Roberts

I like Nordine as he is fighting in his home town and and has had some notable wins over Erick Silva and JingLiang Li. I just think he is just a notch above Roberts. Close fight but I’ve got Nordine to get the win.

Nordine Taleb to win by Decision.

Nordine Taleb head to head at -150.

Jordan Mein vs Erick Silva

Jordan Mein has not had a win since 2014 and his career is on the line so expect a good performance. He has many notable knockouts in the past and has gone the distance with some tough fighters. I think he has what it takes to overcome Erick Silva I’m seeing a knockout or a decision Win for Jordan Mein. Erick Silvas chin is a little suspect as he has been knocked out twice in his last 3 fights so i expect Jordan will hopefully land a k.o also.

Jordan Mein to win by Knockout or Decision.

Jordan Mein head to head at -130.

Alessio Di Chirico vs Oluwale Bamgbose

Both fighters are struggling to make waves in the UFC but slight edge to Alessio and I see the fight as a decision fight. Although Bamgbose likes to bang. I don’t see him knocking out Alessio.

Alessio Di Chirico to win by Decision.

Alessio Di Chirico Head to Head at -110.

John Makdessi vs Abel Trujillo

I see Abel coming into this fight heavy handed looking for a quick knockout. I don’t see John avoiding the heavy strikes from Abel.

Abel Trujillo to win by Knockout.

Abel Trujillo Head to Head at -200.

Tim Elliot vs Pietro Menga

Pietro Menga is making his UFC debut and has not had a fight for over a year. I’m liking Tim Elliot as he is a very active fighter in the UFC. He fights alot of tough guys I see him getting the decision win.

Tim Elliot to win by Decision.

Tim Elliot Head to Head at -265.

Chad Laprise vs Galore Bofando

You will see Galore Going for the k.o in this fight early. He likes early K.O finishes but he may need all three rounds for chad. Chad is a well rounded fighter with alot of experience. This fight will come down to cardio.

Chad Laprise by Decision or a late round KO.

Chad Laprise Head to Head at -160.

Juilan Marquez vs Darren Stewart

Juilan Marquez loves to finish Fights inside the distance he was also on Dana Whites Contender series and has 3 KO’s back to back in his last 3 fights and 4 wins in a row, He will hopefully put on a show in his official UFC debut. Darren Stewart hasn’t had much luck and will be fighting for his UFC career in this fight.

Julian Marquez to win by knockout.

Julian Marquez Head to Head at -255.

Jan Blachowicz vs Jarred Cannonier

Jan Blachowicz has fought some of the best of the best in his division. Whilst Jarrod Cannonier is heavy handed I don’t see him doing much damage to Jan in this fight.

Jan Blachowicz to win by Decision.

Jan Blachowicz Head to Head at +157.

Beginner’s Guide to MMA and UFC Prop Betting

by Octagon Betting ~ December 13th, 2017

A large number of sports bettors who bet on MMA and UFC events are unaware of what a prop bet means, and they even avoid betting on the different prop bets. However, there is lots of value in these kinds of bets. A prop bet refers to any exotic bets which don’t predict the winner of the fight. Most of the Prop Bets are choosing when and how a fight is going to end. It is not an easy task to predict MMA Prop Bets, but the payout is substantially higher than if you were to just bet on the moneyline.

Popular Types of MMA Prop Bets

There are a few key types of prop bets for MMA which are available at the majority of online sportsbooks. They include:

Method of Victory – As the name suggests, this prop bet predicts how the fight will end (KO/TKO, Submission or Decision). For example, Georges St-Pierre to win by Decision on his next fight.

Fight to Go the Distance – Will the bout last the distance and go to a decision or will it end early via KO/TKO or Submission.

MMA and UFC prop bets could cover things such as predicting which round the fight will end, and even which round and which fighter will win the fight. Another popular type of MMA and UFC bet found at most online betting sites is Over/Under round prop bets. For example, you can bet on a fight going Over/Under 2.5 rounds. If you expect a quick finish, then you can confidently bet the under. In 3 round fights, the prop will be Over/Under 1.5 rounds.

Basic Tips and Strategy

Typically, one would choose prop betting when they can be confident about exactly how the fight will go down. If you’ve done your homework you can get really good and it will become a consistent earner for you.

When it comes to predicting knockouts any fighter can put out the surprise by sending his opponent down. Generally, you would be narrowing down your options to the fighters who have the most number of KO/TKO wins. You can then check the opponents of these players and find out the fighter who has a weaker opponent. Make sure that you never bet the Knockout prop bet against a fighter who has a solid chin without concern of who his opponent is.

It is easier to predict submission winners in MMA bouts. You must always keep in mind that when a fighter usually doesn’t submit, you can leave him out of this prop bet. You must bet on the fighters who have a long and proven record of making their opponents submit, like for example, UFC welterweight Demian Maia, who possibly has the best submission game in MMA.

All these popular prop bets are interesting considerations when betting on mixed martial arts fights online. You can use them to enjoy some higher payouts and give yourself a chance of seriously building up a big bankroll.

UFC Fight Night 123 Results

by Octagon Betting ~ December 10th, 2017

Here are the quick results for UFC Fight Night 123.

UFC Fight Night 123 Results: Preliminary Fight Card

Bantamweight: Alexis Davis wins by Split Decision vs Liz Carmouche
Bantamweight: A. Soukhamthath wins by TKO vs Luke Sanders R2
Flyweight: Alex Perez wins by Submission (D’Arce choke) vs C. de Tomas R2
Bantamweight: Frankie Saenz wins by Split Decision vs Merab Dvalishvili
Bantamweight: Alejandro Perez wins by Unanimous Decision vs Iuri Alcantara
Lightweight: Davi Ramos wins by Submission (Rear Naked choke) vs C. Gruetzemacher R3
Middleweight: Trevin Giles wins by TKO vs A. Neto R3

UFC Fight Night 123 Results: Main Fight Card

Featherweight: Brian Ortega wins by Submission (Guillotine choke) vs Cub Swanson R2
Featherweight: Gabriel Benitez wins by Unanimous Decision vs Jason Knight
Bantamweight: Marlon Moraes wins by TKO vs Aljamain Sterling R1
Lightweight: Scott Holtzman wins by Unanimous Deci vs Darrell Horcher
Middleweight: Eryk Anders wins by Unanimous Deci vs Markus Perez
Bantamweight: Benito Lopez wins by Unanimous Deci vs Albert Morales

If you’re a UFC fan, there is a lot to be excited about! In the past two weeks, there has been a changing of the guard in two different weight classes. First, exciting up and comer sensation Francis Ngannou brutally knocked out veteran Alistair Overeem at UFC 218 to now be placed in the upper echelon of heavyweights. Likewise, headlining UFC Fight Night 123, Brian Ortega got an impressive submission win against longtime UFC featherweight contender Cub Swanson.

UFC Fight Night 123 Main Card Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 8th, 2017

The countdown for UFC Fight Night 123 in Fresno, California has begun. Here’s our betting predictions for the main card, which directly follows the prelims.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Benito Lopez vs Albert Morales

Benito Lopez who fought on Dana White’s contender series who is undefeated outside of the UFC making his debut and is doing it in his hometown will be trying to make a statement. Albert Morales is also from California and he will also be trying to make a statement here. It will be a close fight as both contestants will be trying to prove their worth in the UFC but I do give a slight edge to Lopez here as he is undefeated. It will be a close fight I think it will come down to the judges scorecards here.

Benito Lopez wins by Decision.

Benito Lopez Head to Head -110.

Eryk Anders vs Markus Perez

Eryk Anders likes to get the job done and I see him getting it done here he likes to go inside the distance and get the finish in the early rounds and stay away from Perez’s Jui Jistsu. The fight will not go the distance.

Eryk Anders wins by KO.

Eryk Anders Head to Head -300.

Scott Holtzman vs Darrell Horcher

Darrell Horcher for the Decision win. It’s a close fight and will go the distance. Slight edge to Horcher as he fought and lost to Khabib Nurmagomedov.

Darrell Horcher wins by decision.

Darrell Horcher Head to Head +114.

Marlon Moraes vs Aljamain Sterling

Another close fight both coming off great wins here. Slight edge to Moraes.

Marlon Moraes Head to Head -143.

Jason Knight vs Gabriel Benitez

This should be an easy fight for Jason here. Jason to win by Decision. Jason is ranked #14th worldwide and Gabriel is ranked #138. Jason should by able to take the fight wherever he wants.

Jason Knight Head to Head -300.

Cub Swanson vs Brian Ortega

I like Ortega here he has finished all four of his last opponents either by ko or submission. He has no losses and is 12-0. Great fight here.

Brian Ortega to win by Submission.

Brain Ortega Head to Head -118.

UFC Fight Night 123 Prelim Predictions

by Octagon Betting ~ December 6th, 2017

Our betting predictions for the preliminary card for UFC Fight Night 123.

All of the odds below are taken from BetOnline.ag, our top rated sportsbook for UFC betting.

Antonio Braga Neto vs Trevin Giles

Trevin Giles is a very active fighter and his current record is 10-0. The majority of his fights end inside the distance. Antonio Neto has not had a fight since 2014. I see the more active fighter getting the win here and Giles is stepping down from light heavyweight to middleweight.

Trevin Giles wins Inside the Distance.

Trevin Giles Head to Head -265

Chris Gruetzmacher vs Davi Ramos

Ultimate Fighter season 22 contestant Chris Gruetzmacher who did well on the show hopefully shows up uninjured. Chris should be able to fight well as he is the more experienced fighter here but his last fight was at featherweight and got submitted. Davi Ramos has the more impressive jiu jitsu if he gets it done it will be a submission win and he is stepping down from welterweight.

Davi Ramos to win by submission.

Davi Ramos Head to Head -350

Iuri Alcantara vs Alejandro Perez

Perez to win here he always puts on a nice show. He just has to get past Iuri’s submission attempts. Tough fight for Perez but I see him getting the decision win here. Underdog bet here.

Alejandro Perez to win by Decision.

Alejandro Perez Head to Head +170

Frankie Saenz vs Merab Dvalishvili

Matt Serra’s prospect fighting here Merab Dvalishvili is a very talented fighter and will go far in the UFC. Frankie has not had a win since 2015 although he has fought many tough opponents I feel that Merab is another tough task and unstoppable at the moment as he is on a 6 fight win streak outside the UFC and he will want to really put on a display in his UFC debut.

Merab Dvalishvili to win by Decision.

Merab Dvalishvili Head to Head -155

Alex Perez vs Carls John de Tomas

Alex Perez is on a 5 fight winning streak outside his official UFC debut and was on Dana White’s Contender series and defeated Kevin Gray by submission. He likes to use his submission skills usually in the first round. The Filipino prospect lost his UFC debut recently on the UFC Singapore card. Alex is fighting in his hometown of California and is also ranked no.1 in California. See Alex wanting to get a submission win here in his hometown.

Alex Perez to win by Submission.

Alex Perez Head to Head -350

Luke Sanders vs Andre Soukhamthath

Luke Sanders is coming off a recent loss to Iuri Alcantara but is keen to get the job done here as he likes to finish inside the distance. With only one career loss I don’t see him loosing this time round. It’s going to be a great fight as both fighters like finishing inside the distance but I see Luke getting the decision win here and going the distance.

Luke Sanders win by Decision.

Luke Sanders Head to Head -220

Alexis Davis vs Liz Carmouche

Both fighters here have their strengths and weaknesses here and its going to be a very close decision fight. Although they have fought before in 2013 and Davis won (close fight it will be left in the hands of the judges.) Alexis has beaten her before and is the underdog here.

Alexis Davis to win by Decision

Alexis Davis Head to Head +155

Georges St-Pierre, also referred to as GSP, is a world-class Canadian MMA fighter of French descent. He is currently signed to the UFC, and is the reigning Middleweight champion in the UFC, as well as a 3-time former Welterweight champion in the UFC, winning the title twice in 2006 and 2008, including an interim title during 2007.

He is arguably one of the greatest Mixed Martial Art fighters of all time and was ranked the number 1 welterweight in the world for multiple years by Sherdog, along with several other publications. Rodgers Sportsnet named him Canadian Athlete of the Year from 2008 through to 2010. Also, Fight Matrix has listed him as the best MMA Welterweight fighter of all time and the most proficient fighter in the history of MMA.

Georges St-Pierre retired in 2013 where he held the prestigious record for the most wins in title fights, as well as the second longest combined streak for the title in the history of the UFC, lasting 2,204 days. He made a return to the Octagon in March 2017 and managed to defeat Michael Bisping through submission to successfully claim the middleweight title. After the fight, Georges St-Pierre became the fourth fighter in the history of the UFC to be a multi-division champion.

With the above statistics in mind, there’s no valid reason not to call Georges St-Pierre the greatest of all time. There are loads of contributing factors that make Georges St-Pierre stand out from the crowd. He displays tremendous heart when winning a fight, he’s a ruthless finisher in each of his winning fights, and most importantly, he had the confidence in his beliefs to walk away during his peak. He essentially wanted a clean sport and returned to a sport that is overseen by USADA, as well as faced a true champion in Bisping.

For many years, Georges St-Pierre and Anderson Silva were neck-and-neck in the Greatest of all Time discussion. Unfortunately, Silva’s decline after St-Pierre initially walked away has been heart-breaking. Fedor Emelianenko went soft on one too many occasions, and Brett Rogers, as well as Hong-Man Chois, eventually declined. Jon Jones managed to self-sabotage his way out of the discussion, and Johnson’s body is nowhere near the same level as Georges St-Pierre’s.

Next Opponent

Currently Georges St-Pierre doesn’t have a fight scheduled, largely due to a neck injury that he picked up in his win against Bisping, but their is strong rumours that a super fight with, Welterweight Champion, Tyron Woodley will be announced early in the New Year. Depending what weight they fight at will impact the odds of this fight. If at Middleweight odds on sites like BetOnline will likely strongly favour Georges St-Pierre. However, if the fight is at welterweight, Tyron Woodleys natural weight, odds would be far closer. If GSP was to beat Woodley at welterweight it might just finalise Georges St-Pierre as the Best Pound-for-Pound of all time.

Let us know whether you think GSP is the best pound-for-pound of all time in the Polls question in the left sidebar where you can also vote for other fighters.

Analyzing facial expressions at pre-fight weigh-ins could give you good insight into who will win, research done in the past decade has concluded. The study was called A Winning Smile? Smile Intensity, Physical Dominance, and Fighter Performance, and the results were published here.

A group of psychologists at the University of Illinois and Cal-Berkley, tested whether smiles are signs of submission from fighters, and if individuals who do not smile are more likely to win. The hypothesis is that fighters who smile at their opponents lack the aggression that is required to win the fight. Additionally, their opponent will interpret their smile as a sign of weakness, which will give them extra motivation.

To test out the hypothesis, the smile intensity of 152 Mixed Martial Arts fighters were rated looking at 2008 and 2009 photos of MMA fighters staring down during the pre-fight weigh-ins and then compared these results to performance indicators during the fight. Smiles were rated in intensity between 0-2, the three ratings representing a neutral expression, a toothless smile, and a teeth-baring smile. Variables such as effective striking, effective grappling, takedowns and knockouts were taken into account to judge the fighter’s overall performance.

As the researchers expected, smile intensity predicted the outcomes of fights. Straight faced opponents tended to perform better than fighters who were smiling at the pre-fight weigh-ins, and this was true regardless of whether the method of victory was a knockout or other outcome. The idea behind the study is that people who smile more tend to have lower testosterone levels, and are less aggressive in nature compared to those who smile less frequently.

A follow up study confirmed the initial study’s findings, photos of MMA fighter’s faces were rated for aggressiveness and hostility, and fighters that smiled at the weigh-ins were perceived as being less aggressive and hostile, which translated into opponents dominating them in the fight. Obviously you can not get in the head of a MMA fighter to understand what they’re thinking, but it is somewhat surprising that most fighters are not aware of such signals, because for obvious reasons they would not be wanting to put themselves at a mental disadvantage leading into the fight.

Will you be using the results of both studies to help predict the outcome of MMA fights in future UFC bets? If nothing else, this research is interesting in that it looks into deeper psychological aspects of the fight game.